Friendlies 1

Sep 11, 2024 at 2am UK

Soldier Field

Mexico
0 - 0
Canada

Araujo (18'), Araujo (18'), Huerta (26'), Huerta (26'), Mozo (69'), Mozo (69')

Choiniere (57'), Choiniere (57'), Laryea (65'), Laryea (65'), Sigur (88'), Sigur (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Mexico and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Mexico 3-0 New Zealand
Sunday, September 8 at 2am in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Venezuela	3	5	9
2	Ecuador	3	1	4
3	Mexico	3	0	4
4	Jamaica	3	-6	0

Canada

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: USA 1-2 Canada
Saturday, September 7 at 9pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	3	5	9
2	Canada	3	-1	4
3	Chile	3	-1	2
4	Peru	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 53%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Canada had a probability of 21.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Mexico	Draw	Canada
53% ( 0.22)	25.33% ( 0.12)	21.67% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 47.17% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.02% (

-0.77)

54.97% (

0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.75% (

-0.64)

76.25% (

0.64)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.24% (

-0.22)

20.76% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.61% (

-0.35)

53.39% (

0.35)

Canada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.53% (

-0.77)

40.47% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.92% (

-0.71)

77.08% (

0.71)

Score Analysis

Mexico 52.99%

Canada 21.67%

Draw 25.32%

Mexico	Draw	Canada
1-0 @ 13.2% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.35% Total : 52.99%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.32%	0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.28% Total : 21.67%