World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Sep 6, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

Argentina
3 - 0
Chile

Mac Allister (48', 48'), Alvarez (84', 84'), Dybala (90+1', 90+1')
De Paul (30'), De Paul (30'), Lo Celso (71'), Lo Celso (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nunez (39'), Nunez (39'), Davila (40'), Davila (40'), Diaz (65'), Diaz (65')

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The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Argentina and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Friday's CONMEBOL 2026 World Cup qualifier against Chile.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Argentina 1-0 Colombia
Monday, July 15 at 2.15am in Copa America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Chile

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Canada 0-0 Chile
Sunday, June 30 at 1am in Copa America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Chile had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.45%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
Argentina	Draw	Chile
60.63% ( -0.29)	23.35% ( 0.03)	16.02% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 43.63% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.22% (

0.31)

54.78% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.91% (

0.25)

76.09% (

-0.25)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.24% (

0.01)

17.75% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.56% (

0.01)

48.44% (

-0.01)

Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.04% (

0.54)

46.95% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.55% (

0.41)

82.45% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Argentina 60.61%

Chile 16.02%

Draw 23.35%

Argentina	Draw	Chile
1-0 @ 14.4% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 12.45% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 60.61%	1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.56% Total : 23.35%	0-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.18% Total : 16.02%