Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 53.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.