Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 67.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 12.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.61%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.