CONCACAF Nations League
Sep 10, 2024 3.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nacional Mateo Flores
  • Marco Leonel Dominguez-Ramirez 62' yellowcard
  • Marco Leonel Dominguez-Ramirez 62' yellowcard

Guatemala vs Costa Rica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Guatemala

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 6, 2024 3.00am
Guatemala 3 - 1 Martinique

Costa Rica

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 6, 2024 1.00am
Costa Rica 3 - 0 Guadeloupe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 67.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 12.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.61%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Guatemala 67.51% (+9.74)
Draw 20.35% (-3.64)
Costa Rica 12.14% (-6.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.69% (-3.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.36% (+3.31)
Under 2.5 50.64% (-3.30)
Over 3.5 27.45% (+2.85)
Under 3.5 72.55% (-2.85)
Over 4.5 12.94% (+1.84)
Under 4.5 87.05% (-1.84)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5 85.93% (+4.43)
Under 0.5 14.07% (-4.43)
Over 1.5 58.34% (+8.05)
Under 1.5 41.66% (-8.04)

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5 49.68% (-6.68)
Under 0.5 50.32% (+6.69)
Over 1.5 15.12% (-5.06)
Under 1.5 84.88% (+5.06)

Score analysis

Guatemala 67.5%
Draw 20.35%
Costa Rica 12.14%
Guatemala
1-0 @ 13.88% (+0.28)
2-0 @ 13.61% (+2.12)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.19)
3-0 @ 8.9% (+2.44)
3-1 @ 6.11% (+0.76)
4-0 @ 4.37% (+1.64)
4-1 @ 3% (+0.74)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.13)
5-0 @ 1.71% (-90.39)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-75.23)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-92.87)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 67.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.54% (-1.76)
0-0 @ 7.08% (-1.00)
2-2 @ 3.21% (-0.75)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 20.35%
Costa Rica
0-1 @ 4.86% (-1.83)
1-2 @ 3.28% (-1.41)
0-2 @ 1.67% (-1.11)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 12.14%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jun 16, 2023 4.00am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Dignity Health Sports Park
  • goal Carlos Mejia 6'
  • goal Carlos Mejia 6'
International Friendlies
Mar 23, 2019 1.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nacional Mateo Flores (Ciudad de Guatemala)
  • Stefano Cincotta 31' goal
  • Jose Carlos Pinto 34' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Saravia 50' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kendall Waston 42'
  • yellowcard Allan Cruz 51'