CONCACAF Nations League
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fcoslog.png)
-
Francisco Calvo
19'
-
Francisco Calvo
19'
-
Francisco Calvo
49'
-
Francisco Calvo
49'
-
Ariel Lassiter
76'
-
Ariel Lassiter
76'
-
Warren Madrigal
81'
-
Warren Madrigal
81'
-
Jerome Roussillon
88'
-
Jerome Roussillon
88'
Costa Rica vs Guadeloupe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F36%2Fpatrick-sequeira.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for Costa Rica had a probability of 24.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest Costa Rica win was 1-0 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Costa Rica in this match.
Result
Costa Rica
24.7%
▼
(-0.86)
Draw
24.54%
▲
(+0.23)
Guadeloupe
50.75%
▲
(+0.64)
Both Teams to Score:
52.96%
▼
(-1.57)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.92%
▼
(-1.67)
Under 2.5
49.08%
▲
(+1.66)
Over 3.5
28.84%
▼
(-1.53)
Under 3.5
71.15%
▲
(+1.52)
Over 4.5
13.88%
▼
(-1.05)
Under 4.5
86.12%
▲
(+1.05)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5
65.66%
▼
(-1.62)
Under 0.5
34.34%
▲
(+1.62)
Over 1.5
28.95%
▼
(-1.77)
Under 1.5
71.05%
▲
(+1.77)
Guadeloupe Goals
Over 0.5
80.65%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 0.5
19.34%
▲
(+0.40)
Over 1.5
48.88%
▼
(-0.65)
Under 1.5
51.12%
▲
(+0.65)
Score analysis
Costa Rica
24.7%
Draw
24.54%
Guadeloupe
50.75%
Costa Rica
1-0
@
7.1%
▲
(+0.18)
2-1 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.21)
2-0 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.18)
3-2 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 24.7%
2-1 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.21)
2-0 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.18)
3-2 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 24.7%
Draw
1-1
@
11.66%
▲
(+0.15)
0-0 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.44)
2-2 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.24)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 24.54%
0-0 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.44)
2-2 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.24)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 24.54%
Guadeloupe
0-1
@
10.91%
▲
(+0.60)
1-2 @ 9.58% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.96% ▲ (+0.39)
1-3 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.16)
2-3 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.17)
1-4 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.06)
0-4 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 50.75%
1-2 @ 9.58% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.96% ▲ (+0.39)
1-3 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.16)
2-3 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.17)
1-4 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.06)
0-4 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 50.75%
Head to Head
CONCACAF Gold Cup
-
Joel Campbell
6'
-
Ariel Lassiter
21'
-
Kendall Waston
40'
-
Ariel Lassiter
45'+4'
-
Celso Borges
70'
-
Ronald Matarrita
77'
-
Johan Venegas
90'+2'
-
Steve Solvet
28'
-
Sylvain Raphael Mirval
45'+5'
-
Steve Solvet
54'
-
Matthias Phaeton
84'