Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 72.42%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 11.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-3 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.98%), while for a Sint Maarten win it was 2-1 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Guadeloupe in this match.