CONCACAF Nations League
Nov 16, 2023 11.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Wildey Turf
  • yellowcard Anthony Baron 6'
  • yellowcard Anthony Baron 6'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Arenate 38'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Arenate 38'
  • goal 51'
  • goal Ange-Freddy Plumain 65'
  • goal Ange-Freddy Plumain 65'
  • goal Matthias Phaeton 90'+5'
  • goal Matthias Phaeton 90'+5'

Sint Maarten vs Guadeloupe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sint Maarten

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Oct 16, 2023 12.00am
Saint Kitts 0 - 1 Sint Maarten

Guadeloupe

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Oct 15, 2023 8.30pm
Guadeloupe 2 - 0 St Lucia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 72.42%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 11.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-3 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.98%), while for a Sint Maarten win it was 2-1 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Guadeloupe in this match.

Result

Sint Maarten 11.84% (+0.23)
Draw 15.74% (+0.83)
Guadeloupe 72.42% (-1.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.21% (-2.83)

Goals

Over 2.5 70% (-3.69)
Under 2.5 30% (+3.69)
Over 3.5 48.81% (-4.57)
Under 3.5 51.19% (+4.58)
Over 4.5 29.66% (-4.26)
Under 4.5 70.34% (+4.26)

Sint Maarten Goals

Over 0.5 62.73% (-2.32)
Under 0.5 37.27% (+2.33)
Over 1.5 25.95% (-2.37)
Under 1.5 74.05% (+2.37)

Guadeloupe Goals

Over 0.5 92.78% (-1.04)
Under 0.5 7.22% (+1.05)
Over 1.5 73.81% (-2.82)
Under 1.5 26.19% (+2.82)

Score analysis

Sint Maarten 11.85%
Draw 15.74%
Guadeloupe 72.42%
Sint Maarten
2-1 @ 3.45% (+0.13)
1-0 @ 2.66% (+0.39)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.14)
2-0 @ 1.31% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 1.13% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 11.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.98% (+0.67)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 2.69% (+0.54)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.20)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 15.74%
Guadeloupe
0-2 @ 9.29% (+0.93)
1-2 @ 9.17% (+0.38)
0-3 @ 8.14% (+0.38)
1-3 @ 8.04% (-0.13)
0-1 @ 7.07% (+1.07)
0-4 @ 5.35% (-0.06)
1-4 @ 5.28% (-0.41)
2-3 @ 3.97% (-0.33)
0-5 @ 2.81% (-0.20)
1-5 @ 2.78% (-0.39)
2-4 @ 2.61% (-0.39)
2-5 @ 1.37% (-0.30)
0-6 @ 1.23% (-0.17)
1-6 @ 1.22% (-0.26)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 72.42%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League
Sep 10, 2023 8.30pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Stade Rene Gaillard
  • Matthias Phaeton 23' goal
  • Ange-Freddy Plumain 25' goal
  • Luther Archimede 40' goal
  • Ange-Freddy Plumain 43' yellowcard
  • Ange-Freddy Plumain 58' goal
  • Matthias Phaeton 78' yellowcard
  • Morgan Saint-Maximin 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ties Kerssies 11'
  • yellowcard Tyrell Richardson 25'