CONCACAF Nations League
Sep 6, 2024 3.00am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nacional Mateo Flores
  • Rubio Rubin 3' goal
  • Rubio Rubin 3' goal
  • Aaron Herrera 28' yellowcard
  • Aaron Herrera 28' yellowcard
  • Jose Carlos Pinto 61' goal
  • Jose Carlos Pinto 61' goal
  • Jose Carlos Martinez 90'+4' goal
  • Jose Carlos Martinez 90'+4' goal
  • goal Kevin Appin 50'
  • goal Kevin Appin 50'
  • yellowcard Joris Moutachy 60'
  • yellowcard Joris Moutachy 60'
  • yellowcard Rudy Varane 77'
  • yellowcard Rudy Varane 77'

Guatemala vs Martinique - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Guatemala

All competitions

Martinique

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 59.09%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Martinique had a probability of 17.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Martinique win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.

Result

Guatemala 59.09% (-0.47)
Draw 22.99% (+0.17)
Martinique 17.92% (+0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.23% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.43% (-0.19)
Under 2.5 50.57% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 27.51% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 72.49% (+0.17)
Over 4.5 12.99% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 87.01% (+0.11)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5 83.21% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 16.79% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 53.25% (-0.41)
Under 1.5 46.75% (+0.41)

Martinique Goals

Over 0.5 57.96% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 42.04% (-0.26)
Over 1.5 21.53% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 78.47% (-0.23)

Score analysis

Guatemala 59.08%
Draw 22.99%
Martinique 17.92%
Guatemala
1-0 @ 12.59%
2-0 @ 11.23% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.68% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 5.79% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 2.98% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 59.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.91% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 7.06% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.22% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 22.99%
Martinique
0-1 @ 6.12% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 4.73% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 2.65% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.37% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.22% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 17.92%