CONCACAF Nations League | League A

Oct 16, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica

Costa Rica
3 - 0
Guatemala

Madrigal (9', 9'), Vargas (38', 38'), Calvo (71', 71')
Bran (41'), Bran (41'), Mitchell (64'), Mitchell (64'), Quiros (87'), Quiros (87')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Ardon (32'), Ardon (32'), Castellanos (62'), Castellanos (62'), Mendez-Laing (84'), Mendez-Laing (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Costa Rica and Guatemala, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Costa Rica

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Suriname 1-1 Costa Rica
Friday, October 11 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Colombia	3	4	7
2	Brazil	3	3	5
3	Costa Rica	3	-2	4
4	Paraguay	3	-5	0

Guatemala

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Guyana 1-3 Guatemala
Saturday, October 12 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	4	7	10
2	Trinidad and Tobago	4	1	9
3	Martinique	4	-1	7
4	Guatemala	4	-2	4
5	Curacao	4	-1	3
6	El Salvador	4	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Guatemala had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Guatemala win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.

Result
Costa Rica	Draw	Guatemala
42.86% ( -3.7)	24.9% ( 0.66)	32.24% ( 3.05)

Both teams to score 57.1% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.92% (

-1.54)

46.08% (

1.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.62% (

-1.47)

68.38% (

1.48)

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.48% (

-2.25)

21.52% (

2.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.42% (

-3.59)

54.58% (

3.59)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.75% (

1.25)

27.25% (

-1.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.32% (

1.6)

62.68% (

-1.59)

Score Analysis

Costa Rica 42.86%

Guatemala 32.24%

Draw 24.9%

Costa Rica	Draw	Guatemala
1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.53) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.53) 3-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.54) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.34) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.32) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.52% Total : 42.86%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.9%	0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.73) 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.49) 0-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.63) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.32) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.34) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.99% Total : 32.24%