CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg

Nov 15, 2024 at 2am UK

Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica

Costa Rica
0 - 1
Panama

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fajardo (66' pen., 66' pen.)
Fajardo (18'), Fajardo (18'), Carrasquilla (41'), Carrasquilla (41'), Mosquera (79'), Mosquera (79'), Cordoba (85'), Cordoba (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Costa Rica and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Costa Rica

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Costa Rica 3-0 Guatemala
Wednesday, October 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Colombia	3	4	7
2	Brazil	3	3	5
3	Costa Rica	3	-2	4
4	Paraguay	3	-5	0

Panama

All competitions

Last Game: Canada 2-1 Panama
Wednesday, October 16 at 12.30am in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uruguay	3	8	9
2	Panama	3	1	6
3	USA	3	0	3
4	Bolivia	3	-9	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Panama had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Panama win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Costa Rica	Draw	Panama
45.49% ( -0.01)	24.41% ( 0)	30.1% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 57.72% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.2% (

-0.01)

44.8% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.84% (

-0.01)

67.16% (

0.01)

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.18% (

-0.01)

19.82% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.1% (

-0.01)

51.9% (

0.02)

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.99% (

-0)

28.01% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.35% (

-0)

63.65% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Costa Rica 45.49%

Panama 30.1%

Draw 24.41%

Costa Rica	Draw	Panama
2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.27% 3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 45.49%	1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.41%	1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.07% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.1%