Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 82.3%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 5.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.83%) and 1-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.67%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (2.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.