World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Sep 10, 2024 at 10pm UK

Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos

Chile
1 - 2
Bolivia

Vargas (39')
Diaz (8'), Pulgar (41'), Catalan (89'), Suazo (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Algaranaz (13'), Terceros (45+1')
Matheus (21'), Suarez (41'), Fernandez (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Chile and Bolivia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chile

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Argentina 3-0 Chile
Friday, September 6 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	7	9	18
2	Uruguay	7	8	14
3	Colombia	7	3	13
4	Ecuador	7	1	11
5	Brazil	7	2	10
6	Venezuela	7	-1	9
7	Paraguay	7	-2	6
8	Bolivia	7	-6	6
9	Chile	7	-7	5
10	Peru	7	-7	3

Bolivia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Bolivia 4-0 Venezuela
Thursday, September 5 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	7	9	18
2	Uruguay	7	8	14
3	Colombia	7	3	13
4	Ecuador	7	1	11
5	Brazil	7	2	10
6	Venezuela	7	-1	9
7	Paraguay	7	-2	6
8	Bolivia	7	-6	6
9	Chile	7	-7	5
10	Peru	7	-7	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 82.3%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 5.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.83%) and 1-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.67%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (2.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Chile	Draw	Bolivia
82.3% ( -0.01)	11.93% ( 0.17)	5.77% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 44.06% (

-1.89)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.93% (

-1.74)

33.07% (

1.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.19% (

-2.03)

54.81% (

2.03)

Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.01% (

-0.34)

5.99% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.14% (

-0.97)

22.86% (

0.98)

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.87% (

-1.84)

53.13% (

1.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.27% (

-1.19)

86.73% (

1.2)

Score Analysis

Chile 82.29%

Bolivia 5.77%

Draw 11.93%

Chile	Draw	Bolivia
2-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.65) 3-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.37) 1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.64) 4-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.23) 5-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.19) 6-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.17) 6-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.12) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.63% Total : 82.29%	1-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.56% Total : 11.93%	0-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.97% Total : 5.77%