World Cup Qualifying - South America
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-
Hector Cuellar
9'
-
Ramiro Vaca
13'
-
Ramiro Vaca
14'
-
Miguel Terceros
46'
-
Carmelo Algaranaz
45'+5'
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Enzo Eduardo Monteiro de Castro Becerra
89'
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Enzo Eduardo Monteiro de Castro Becerra
90'
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Cristian Casseres Jr
78'
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Yeferson Soteldo
79'
Bolivia vs Venezuela - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 53.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 19.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Bolivia win it was 1-0 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result
Bolivia
19.65%
▼
(-0.88)
Draw
26.65%
▼
(-0.25)
Venezuela
53.7%
▲
(+1.12)
Both Teams to Score:
41.18%
▼
(-0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5
38.55%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
61.45%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
18.67%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
81.33%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
7.58%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 4.5
92.41%
▲
(+0.02)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5
53.58%
▼
(-1.02)
Under 0.5
46.42%
▲
(+1.01)
Over 1.5
17.95%
▼
(-0.79)
Under 1.5
82.04%
▲
(+0.79)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5
76.85%
▲
(+0.47)
Under 0.5
23.15%
▼
(-0.48)
Over 1.5
42.98%
▲
(+0.69)
Under 1.5
57.02%
▼
(-0.69)
Score analysis
Bolivia
19.65%
Draw
26.64%
Venezuela
53.69%
Bolivia
1-0
@
8.25%
▼
(-0.23)
2-1 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 19.65%
2-1 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 19.65%
Draw
1-1
@
12.06%
▼
(-0.16)
0-0 @ 10.74% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 26.64%
0-0 @ 10.74% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 26.64%
Venezuela
0-1
@
15.72%
▲
(+0.25)
0-2 @ 11.5% ▲ (+0.34)
1-2 @ 8.83% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.24)
1-3 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.07)
0-4 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 53.69%
0-2 @ 11.5% ▲ (+0.34)
1-2 @ 8.83% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.24)
1-3 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.07)
0-4 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 53.69%
Leonel Justiniano
60'