World Cup Qualifying - South America
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-
Davinson Sanchez
34'
-
Jhon Cordoba
37'
-
Luis Diaz
52'
-
Johan Mojica
78'
-
Jhon Duran
82'
-
Luis Sinisterra
90'+3'
-
Gonzalo Tapia
65'
-
Erick Pulgar
77'
Colombia vs Chile - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 55.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Chile had a probability of 18.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.
Result
Colombia
55.29%
▼
(-0.12)
Draw
25.85%
▲
(+0.12)
Chile
18.86%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
42.03%
▼
(-0.30)
Goals
Over 2.5
40.3%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 2.5
59.69%
▲
(+0.39)
Over 3.5
19.99%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 3.5
80%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 4.5
8.33%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 4.5
91.66%
▲
(+0.18)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5
78.27%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 0.5
21.73%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 1.5
45.1%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 1.5
54.9%
▲
(+0.32)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5
53.7%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 0.5
46.3%
▲
(+0.24)
Over 1.5
18.05%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 1.5
81.95%
▲
(+0.19)
Score analysis
Colombia
55.28%
Draw
25.85%
Chile
18.86%
Colombia
1-0
@
15.35%
▲
(+0.13)
2-0 @ 11.72% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.03% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 55.28%
2-0 @ 11.72% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.03% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 55.28%
Draw
1-1
@
11.82%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 10.06% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 25.85%
0-0 @ 10.06% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 25.85%
Chile
0-1
@
7.75%
▲
(+0.07)
1-2 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 18.86%
1-2 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 18.86%
Head to Head
World Cup Qualifying - South America
-
Matias Catalan
39'
-
Matias Catalan
39'
-
Guillermo Maripan
77'
-
Guillermo Maripan
77'
-
Jhon Arias
41'
-
Jhon Arias
41'
-
Jorge Carrascal
48'
-
Jorge Carrascal
48'
-
Luis Diaz
54'
-
Luis Diaz
54'
-
Deiver Machado
64'
-
Deiver Machado
64'
-
Jhon Duran
90'
-
Jhon Duran
90'