Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 44.21%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 27.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.98%) and 1-2 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Bolivia win it was 1-0 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.