World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Sep 10, 2024 at 9.30pm UK

Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez

Colombia
2 - 1
Argentina

Mosquera (25'), Rodriguez (60' pen.)
Duran (79'), Vargas (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gonzalez (48')
Montiel (21'), Romero (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Colombia and Argentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Argentina could line up for Tuesday's CONMEBOL World Cup qualifier away to Colombia in Barranquilla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Peru 1-1 Colombia
Saturday, September 7 at 2.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	7	9	18
2	Uruguay	7	8	14
3	Colombia	7	3	13
4	Ecuador	7	1	11
5	Brazil	7	2	10
6	Venezuela	7	-1	9
7	Paraguay	7	-2	6
8	Bolivia	7	-6	6
9	Chile	7	-7	5
10	Peru	7	-7	3

Argentina

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Argentina 3-0 Chile
Friday, September 6 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	7	9	18
2	Uruguay	7	8	14
3	Colombia	7	3	13
4	Ecuador	7	1	11
5	Brazil	7	2	10
6	Venezuela	7	-1	9
7	Paraguay	7	-2	6
8	Bolivia	7	-6	6
9	Chile	7	-7	5
10	Peru	7	-7	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for Colombia had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Colombia win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Colombia	Draw	Argentina
25.78% ( -1.93)	25.44% ( 0.01)	48.78% ( 1.92)

Both teams to score 51.22% (

-1.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.14% (

-1.32)

51.86% (

1.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.38% (

-1.15)

73.62% (

1.15)

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.06% (

-2.25)

34.94% (

2.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.32% (

-2.44)

71.68% (

2.44)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.72% (

0.3)

21.27% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.8% (

0.46)

54.2% (

-0.46)

Score Analysis

Colombia 25.78%

Argentina 48.78%

Draw 25.43%

Colombia	Draw	Argentina
1-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.4) 2-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.29) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.1% Total : 25.78%	1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.43%	0-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.69) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 8.9% ( 0.61) 1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.35) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.43% Total : 48.78%