Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 44.08%. A draw had a probability of 32.1% and a win for Peru had a probability of 23.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 0-1 with a probability of 18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (6.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.6%), while for a Peru win it was 1-0 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.