World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Sep 7, 2024 at 2.30am UK

Estadio Nacional de Lima

Peru
1 - 1
Colombia

Callens (68', 68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Diaz (82', 82')
Sinisterra (27'), Sinisterra (27'), Mina (89'), Mina (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Peru and Colombia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Peru
Sunday, June 30 at 1am in Copa America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	7	9	18
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	7	-1	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Bolivia	7	-6	6
8	Paraguay	6	-2	5
9	Chile	7	-7	5
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Colombia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Argentina 1-0 Colombia
Monday, July 15 at 2.15am in Copa America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	7	9	18
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	7	-1	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Bolivia	7	-6	6
8	Paraguay	6	-2	5
9	Chile	7	-7	5
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 44.08%. A draw had a probability of 32.1% and a win for Peru had a probability of 23.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 0-1 with a probability of 18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (6.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.6%), while for a Peru win it was 1-0 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Peru	Draw	Colombia
23.82% ( -0.43)	32.1% ( -0.13)	44.08% ( 0.56)

Both teams to score 33.68% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

26.81% (

0.12)

73.19% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

10.79% (

0.07)

89.21% (

-0.07)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.89% (

-0.35)

49.11% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.96% (

-0.25)

84.03% (

0.25)

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.17% (

0.4)

33.82% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.51% (

0.43)

70.48% (

-0.43)

Score Analysis

Peru 23.82%

Colombia 44.07%

Draw 32.09%

Peru	Draw	Colombia
1-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.18% Total : 23.82%	0-0 @ 16.6% ( -0.08) 1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 32.09%	0-1 @ 18% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.38% Total : 44.07%