/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Feculog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fvenlog.png)
-
Enner Valencia
39'
-
Enner Valencia
46'
-
John Mercado
65'
-
Freddy Vargas
63'
-
Josua Mejias
78'
-
Jhonder Cadiz
90'+1'
Ecuador vs Venezuela - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F36%2Fenner-valencia.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 65.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 13.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.4%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Venezuela win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ecuador in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ecuador.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Ecuador Goals
Venezuela Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 13.4% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.35% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 65.04%
0-0 @ 7.78% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 21.6%
1-2 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 13.34%
