World Cup Qualifying - South America
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Juan Jose Caceres
35'
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Juan Jose Caceres
35'
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Antonio Sanabria
59'
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Antonio Sanabria
59'
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Omar Alderete
63'
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Omar Alderete
63'
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Antonio Sanabria
74'
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Antonio Sanabria
74'
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Miguel Navarro
12'
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Miguel Navarro
12'
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Jon Aramburu
25'
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Jon Aramburu
25'
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Fernando Batista
33'
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Fernando Batista
33'
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Yeferson Soteldo
38'
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Yeferson Soteldo
38'
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Cristian Casseres Jr
45'+3'
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Cristian Casseres Jr
45'+3'
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Jhonder Cadiz
68'
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Jhonder Cadiz
68'
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Jon Aramburu
70'
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Jon Aramburu
70'
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Eduard Bello
87'
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Eduard Bello
87'
Paraguay vs Venezuela - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.51%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 0-1 (11.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paraguay would win this match.
Result
Paraguay
36.82%
▼
(-0.14)
Draw
29.27%
▼
(-0.09)
Venezuela
33.9%
▲
(+0.23)
Both Teams to Score:
44.04%
▲
(+0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5
37.2%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 2.5
62.8%
▼
(-0.30)
Over 3.5
17.68%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 3.5
82.32%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 4.5
7.04%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 4.5
92.96%
▼
(-0.12)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5
67.34%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
32.66%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 1.5
30.79%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
69.2%
▼
(-0.08)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5
65.4%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 0.5
34.6%
▼
(-0.32)
Over 1.5
28.68%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 1.5
71.32%
▼
(-0.34)
Score analysis
Paraguay
36.82%
Draw
29.26%
Venezuela
33.9%
Paraguay
1-0
@
12.64%
▼
(-0.12)
2-1 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.08% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 36.82%
2-1 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.08% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 36.82%
Draw
1-1
@
13.42%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 11.29% ▼ (-0.14)
2-2 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.26%
0-0 @ 11.29% ▼ (-0.14)
2-2 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.26%
Venezuela
0-1
@
11.99%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.12% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 6.36% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 33.9%
1-2 @ 7.12% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 6.36% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 33.9%