World Cup Qualifying - South America
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Cristian Casseres Jr
27'
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Cristian Casseres Jr
27'
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Miguel Navarro
67'
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Miguel Navarro
67'
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Jose Andres Martinez
89'
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Jose Andres Martinez
89'
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Manuel Ugarte
27'
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Manuel Ugarte
27'
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Brian Rodriguez
53'
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Brian Rodriguez
53'
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Miguel Merentiel
65'
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Miguel Merentiel
65'
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Emiliano Martinez
90'
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Emiliano Martinez
90'
Venezuela vs Uruguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 42.01%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 26.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-2 (7.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.44%), while for a Venezuela win it was 1-0 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Venezuela
26.96%
▲
(+0.34)
Draw
31.03%
▲
(+0.32)
Uruguay
42.01%
▼
(-0.65)
Both Teams to Score:
37.66%
▼
(-0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5
30.56%
▼
(-0.70)
Under 2.5
69.44%
▲
(+0.71)
Over 3.5
13.13%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 3.5
86.87%
▲
(+0.46)
Over 4.5
4.7%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 4.5
95.31%
▲
(+0.23)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5
56.18%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 0.5
43.82%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 1.5
20.02%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
79.98%
▲
(+0.10)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5
67.03%
▼
(-0.76)
Under 0.5
32.97%
▲
(+0.76)
Over 1.5
30.45%
▼
(-0.85)
Under 1.5
69.55%
▲
(+0.85)
Score analysis
Venezuela
26.96%
Draw
31.01%
Uruguay
42.01%
Venezuela
1-0
@
11.92%
▲
(+0.27)
2-1 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 26.96%
2-1 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 26.96%
Draw
0-0
@
14.44%
▲
(+0.37)
1-1 @ 13.22% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 31.01%
1-1 @ 13.22% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 31.01%
Uruguay
0-1
@
16.03%
▲
(+0.10)
0-2 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.15)
1-2 @ 7.34% ▼ (-0.14)
0-3 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 42.01%
0-2 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.15)
1-2 @ 7.34% ▼ (-0.14)
0-3 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 42.01%
