World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Oct 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Centenario

Uruguay
0 - 0
Ecuador

Fonseca (84'), Fonseca (84')

Caicedo (37'), Caicedo (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Uruguay and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uruguay

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Peru 1-0 Uruguay
Saturday, October 12 at 2.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	9	8	19
2	Colombia	9	3	16
3	Uruguay	9	7	15
4	Ecuador	9	2	15
5	Brazil	9	2	13
6	Bolivia	9	-4	12
7	Venezuela	9	-1	11
8	Paraguay	9	-1	10
9	Peru	9	-7	6
10	Chile	9	-9	5

Ecuador

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Ecuador 0-0 Paraguay
Thursday, October 10 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	9	8	19
2	Colombia	9	3	16
3	Uruguay	9	7	15
4	Ecuador	9	2	15
5	Brazil	9	2	13
6	Bolivia	9	-4	12
7	Venezuela	9	-1	11
8	Paraguay	9	-1	10
9	Peru	9	-7	6
10	Chile	9	-9	5

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 12.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.37%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.

Result
Uruguay	Draw	Ecuador
63.84% ( -1.14)	23.26% ( 0.36)	12.9% ( 0.78)

Both teams to score 37.17% (

1.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.48% (

0.22)

59.52% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.13% (

0.17)

79.87% (

-0.17)

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.66% (

-0.33)

18.34% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.55% (

-0.56)

49.45% (

0.56)

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.52% (

1.46)

54.48% (

-1.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.43% (

0.86)

87.57% (

-0.87)

Score Analysis

Uruguay 63.83%

Ecuador 12.9%

Draw 23.26%

Uruguay	Draw	Ecuador
1-0 @ 16.94% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 14.37% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.53% Total : 63.83%	1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.26%	0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.14) Other @ 1.86% Total : 12.9%