World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Oct 12, 2024 at 2.30am UK

Estadio Nacional de Lima

Peru
1 - 0
Uruguay

Araujo (88', 88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nandez (84'), Nandez (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Peru and Uruguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Chile 2-1 Peru
Tuesday, November 18 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	17	22	38
2	Ecuador	17	8	29
3	Brazil	17	8	28
4	Uruguay	17	10	27
5	Colombia	17	7	25
6	Paraguay	17	3	25
7	Venezuela	17	-7	18
8	Bolivia	17	-19	17
9	Peru	17	-14	12
10	Chile	17	-18	10

Uruguay

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: USA 5-1 Uruguay
Wednesday, November 19 at 12am in International Friendlies

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	17	22	38
2	Ecuador	17	8	29
3	Brazil	17	8	28
4	Uruguay	17	10	27
5	Colombia	17	7	25
6	Paraguay	17	3	25
7	Venezuela	17	-7	18
8	Bolivia	17	-19	17
9	Peru	17	-14	12
10	Chile	17	-18	10

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 42.32%. A draw had a probability of 31.3% and a win for Peru had a probability of 26.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.05%) and 1-2 (7.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.95%), while for a Peru win it was 1-0 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Peru	Draw	Uruguay
26.37% ( -0.06)	31.31% ( 0.11)	42.32% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 36.74% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

29.63% (

-0.3)

70.37% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

12.53% (

-0.19)

87.47% (

0.19)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.08% (

-0.24)

44.92% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.13% (

-0.19)

80.87% (

0.19)

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.71% (

-0.19)

33.29% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.09% (

-0.21)

69.91% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Peru 26.36%

Uruguay 42.31%

Draw 31.31%

Peru	Draw	Uruguay
1-0 @ 11.96% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.66% Total : 26.36%	0-0 @ 14.95% ( 0.17) 1-1 @ 13.16% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.3% Total : 31.31%	0-1 @ 16.44% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.64% Total : 42.31%