World Cup Qualifying - South America Gameweek 16
Jun 11, 2025 2.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Andre Carrillo 27' yellowcard
  • Edison Flores 40' yellowcard
  • Renato Tapia 50' yellowcard
  • Kevin Quevedo 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 29'
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 75'

Peru vs Ecuador - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Jun 6, 2025 9.30pm
Colombia 0 - 0 Peru

Ecuador

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Jun 6, 2025 12.00am
Ecuador 0 - 0 Brazil

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Peru win with a probability of 46.9%. A draw has a probability of 31.1% and a win for Ecuador has a probability of 21.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peru win is 1-0 with a probability of 18.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (15.76%), while for a Ecuador win it is 0-1 (10.89%).

Result

Peru 46.9% (-1.33)
Draw 31.11% (+0.15)
Ecuador 21.99% (+1.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

34.19% (+0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5 28.21% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 71.79% (-0.34)
Over 3.5 11.64% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 88.36% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 3.99% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 96.01% (-0.10)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5 68.54% (-0.54)
Under 0.5 31.46% (+0.54)
Over 1.5 32.16% (-0.63)
Under 1.5 67.84% (+0.63)

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5 49.88% (+1.51)
Under 0.5 50.12% (-1.51)
Over 1.5 15.26% (+1.02)
Under 1.5 84.74% (-1.02)

Score analysis

Peru 46.89%
Draw 31.1%
Ecuador 21.99%
Peru
1-0 @ 18.23% (-0.50)
2-0 @ 10.54% (-0.46)
2-1 @ 7.28% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.06% (-0.24)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.09)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 46.89%
Draw
0-0 @ 15.76% (-0.21)
1-1 @ 12.59% (+0.21)
2-2 @ 2.52% (+0.12)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 31.1%
Ecuador
0-1 @ 10.89% (+0.34)
1-2 @ 4.35% (+0.26)
0-2 @ 3.76% (+0.28)
1-3 @ 1% (-89.30)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 21.99%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - South America
Sep 10, 2024 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
  • Enner Valencia 54' goal
  • Kendry Paez 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wilder Cartagena 28'
  • yellowcard Luis Advincula 37'
  • yellowcard Anderson Santamaria 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Marcos Lopez 61'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Feb 2, 2022 2.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Raziel Garcia 34' yellowcard
  • Jose Aurelio Carvallo Alonso 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Jose Carvallo 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Luis Advincula 51' yellowcard
  • Edison Flores 69' goal
  • goal Michael Estrada 2'
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 28'
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 38'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Plata 63'
Copa America
Jun 23, 2021 10.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Renato Tapia 23' goal
  • Ayrton Preciado 45'+3' goal
  • Piero Hincapie 57' yellowcard
  • goal Gianluca Lapadula 49'
  • goal Andre Carrillo 54'
  • yellowcard Christian Ramos 88'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Jun 8, 2021 10.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Moises Caicedo 28' yellowcard
  • Alexander Dominguez 79' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Plata 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Luis Advincula 22'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Lapadula 26'
  • goal Christian Cueva 63'
  • goal Luis Advincula 88'
  • yellowcard Pedro Aquino 90'+3'
International Friendlies
Sep 6, 2019 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena (Harrison, New Jersey)
  • Christofer Gonzales 43' yellowcard
  • Miguel Trauco 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Xavier Arreaga 22'
  • yellowcard Michael Estrada 27'
  • goal Erick Castillo 47'
International Friendlies
Nov 16, 2018 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Jefferson Orejuela 36'
  • yellowcard Carlos Gruezo 41'
  • goal Antonio Valencia 47'
  • goal Enner Valencia 74'