Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Peru win with a probability of 46.9%. A draw has a probability of 31.1% and a win for Ecuador has a probability of 21.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peru win is 1-0 with a probability of 18.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (15.76%), while for a Ecuador win it is 0-1 (10.89%).