Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Peru had a probability of 14.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.68%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.19%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Venezuela in this match.