World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Jun 6, 2025 at 12am UK

Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Paraguay
2 - 0
Uruguay

Galarza (13'), Enciso (81' pen.)
Galarza (39'), Jose Caceres (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Paraguay and Uruguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paraguay

All competitions

Last Game: Colombia 2-2 Paraguay
Wednesday, March 26 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	14	18	31
2	Ecuador	14	8	26
3	Uruguay	14	7	21
4	Brazil	14	4	21
5	Paraguay	14	2	21
6	Colombia	14	4	20
7	Venezuela	14	-4	15
8	Bolivia	14	-16	14
9	Peru	14	-11	10
10	Chile	14	-12	10

Uruguay

All competitions

Last Game: Bolivia 0-0 Uruguay
Tuesday, March 25 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	14	18	31
2	Ecuador	14	8	26
3	Uruguay	14	7	21
4	Brazil	14	4	21
5	Paraguay	14	2	21
6	Colombia	14	4	20
7	Venezuela	14	-4	15
8	Bolivia	14	-16	14
9	Peru	14	-11	10
10	Chile	14	-12	10

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paraguay win with a probability of 40.85%. A draw has a probability of 30.6% and a win for Uruguay has a probability of 28.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.46%) and 2-1 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (13.62%), while for a Uruguay win it is 0-1 (11.97%).

Result
Paraguay	Draw	Uruguay
40.85% ( -0.12)	30.61% ( -0.07)	28.54% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 39.3% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.16% (

0.25)

67.84% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.17% (

0.16)

85.83% (

-0.16)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.19% (

0.06)

32.81% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.63% (

0.06)

69.38% (

-0.06)

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.49% (

0.31)

41.51% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.99% (

0.27)

78.01% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Paraguay 40.84%

Uruguay 28.54%

Draw 30.61%

Paraguay	Draw	Uruguay
1-0 @ 15.17% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 40.84%	0-0 @ 13.62% ( -0.12) 1-1 @ 13.34% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.38% Total : 30.61%	0-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.22% Total : 28.54%