World Cup Qualifying - South America Gameweek 15
Jun 6, 2025 12.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Matias Galarza 13' goal
  • Matias Galarza 39' yellowcard
  • Juan Jose Caceres 68' yellowcard
  • Julio Enciso 81' goal

Paraguay vs Uruguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Paraguay

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Mar 26, 2025 12.00am
Colombia 2 - 2 Paraguay

Uruguay

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Mar 25, 2025 8.00pm
Bolivia 0 - 0 Uruguay

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paraguay win with a probability of 40.85%. A draw has a probability of 30.6% and a win for Uruguay has a probability of 28.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.46%) and 2-1 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (13.62%), while for a Uruguay win it is 0-1 (11.97%).

Result

Paraguay 40.85% (-0.13)
Draw 30.61% (-0.08)
Uruguay 28.54% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.3% (+0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 32.16% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 67.84% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 14.17% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 85.83% (-0.17)
Over 4.5 5.21% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 94.79% (-0.09)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5 67.19% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 32.81% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 30.63% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 69.38% (-0.07)

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5 58.49% (+0.31)
Under 0.5 41.51% (-0.31)
Over 1.5 21.99% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 78.01% (-0.27)

Score analysis

Paraguay 40.84%
Draw 30.61%
Uruguay 28.54%
Paraguay
1-0 @ 15.17% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 8.46% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 7.44% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.76% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.21% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 40.84%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.62% (-0.13)
1-1 @ 13.34% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.27% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 30.61%
Uruguay
0-1 @ 11.97% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.87% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 5.26% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.72% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.54% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 28.54%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - South America
Sep 7, 2024 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Federico Valverde 37' yellowcard
  • Federico Valverde 37' yellowcard
  • Santiago Bueno 79' yellowcard
  • Santiago Bueno 79' yellowcard
  • Nahitan Nandez 84' yellowcard
  • Nahitan Nandez 84' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 85' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gustavo Gomez 20'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Gomez 20'
  • yellowcard Andres Cubas 34'
  • yellowcard Andres Cubas 34'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Jan 27, 2022 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Luis Suarez 50'
Copa America
Jun 29, 2021 1.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Edinson Cavani 21' goal
  • yellowcard Omar Alderete 43'
  • yellowcard Junior Alonso 82'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Jun 3, 2021 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Sep 6, 2017 1.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Defensores del Chaco
  • Angel Romero 88' goal
  • goal Federico Valverde 76'
  • goal Gustavo Gomez 80' (OG)
Copa America
Jun 20, 2015 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio La Portada, La Serena
  • Abel Hernandez 5' yellowcard
  • Jose Gimenez 29' goal
  • Sebastian Coates 72' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Pereira 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nestor Ortigoza 9'
  • goal Lucas Barrios 44'
  • yellowcard Richard Ortiz 69'
  • yellowcard Osmar Molinas 81'