World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Centenario
Uruguay3 - 2Colombia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Uruguay 0-0 Ecuador
Wednesday, October 16 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Wednesday, October 16 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Colombia 4-0 Chile
Tuesday, October 15 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Tuesday, October 15 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Uruguay 1-1 Colombia
Uruguay's only two wins in their last seven games both came on penalties at the Copa America, including in the third-place playoff, and ending a four-game scoreless run will be pivotal to getting back on track here. Colombia are a very threatening side under Lorenzo though, and ignoring their blip in the altitude of Bolivia, they have been very consistent in this qualifying campaign, and will be confident of a result. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 41.72%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 28.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.51%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Uruguay | Draw | Colombia |
41.72% ( -0.62) | 29.69% ( -0.06) | 28.58% ( 0.68) |
| Both teams to score 41.49% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
