World Cup Qualifying - South America
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Antonio Sanabria
19'
-
Omar Alderete
33'
-
Omar Alderete
47'
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Andres Cubas
49'
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Isidro Pitta
84'
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Lautaro Martinez
11'
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Nicolas Otamendi
81'
Paraguay vs Argentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 56.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.34%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Paraguay win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result
Paraguay
18.97%
▼
(-0.18)
Draw
24.58%
▲
(+1.02)
Argentina
56.45%
▼
(-0.84)
Both Teams to Score:
45.5%
▼
(-3.13)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.83%
▼
(-4.03)
Under 2.5
55.17%
▲
(+4.04)
Over 3.5
23.59%
▼
(-3.43)
Under 3.5
76.41%
▲
(+3.43)
Over 4.5
10.47%
▼
(-2.19)
Under 4.5
89.52%
▲
(+2.19)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5
56.5%
▼
(-2.55)
Under 0.5
43.5%
▲
(+2.55)
Over 1.5
20.29%
▼
(-2.20)
Under 1.5
79.71%
▲
(+2.20)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5
80.54%
▼
(-1.82)
Under 0.5
19.46%
▲
(+1.83)
Over 1.5
48.69%
▼
(-3.07)
Under 1.5
51.31%
▲
(+3.08)
Score analysis
Paraguay
18.97%
Draw
24.57%
Argentina
56.44%
Paraguay
1-0
@
7.05%
▲
(+0.60)
2-1 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.16)
3-2 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 18.97%
2-1 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.16)
3-2 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 18.97%
Draw
1-1
@
11.53%
▲
(+0.35)
0-0 @ 8.46% ▲ (+1.25)
2-2 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.41)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 24.57%
0-0 @ 8.46% ▲ (+1.25)
2-2 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.41)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 24.57%
Argentina
0-1
@
13.85%
▲
(+1.33)
0-2 @ 11.34% ▲ (+0.48)
1-2 @ 9.44% ▼ (-0.27)
0-3 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.47)
0-4 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.20)
2-3 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.37)
1-4 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.33)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 56.44%
0-2 @ 11.34% ▲ (+0.48)
1-2 @ 9.44% ▼ (-0.27)
0-3 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.47)
0-4 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.20)
2-3 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.37)
1-4 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.33)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 56.44%