World Cup Qualifying - South America
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Lionel Messi
19'
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Lionel Messi
19'
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Lautaro Martinez
43'
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Lautaro Martinez
43'
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Julian Alvarez
45'+3'
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Julian Alvarez
45'+3'
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Thiago Almada
69'
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Thiago Almada
69'
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Lionel Messi
84'
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Lionel Messi
84'
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Lionel Messi
86'
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Lionel Messi
86'
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Carmelo Algaranaz
76'
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Carmelo Algaranaz
76'
Argentina vs Bolivia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 80.67%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 6.23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.95%) and 1-0 (10.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.22%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (2.36%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
Result
Argentina
80.67%
▲
(+0.52)
Draw
13.09%
▼
(-0.34)
Bolivia
6.23%
▼
(-0.18)
Both Teams to Score:
42.13%
▲
(+0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.93%
▲
(+0.90)
Under 2.5
37.07%
▼
(-0.90)
Over 3.5
40.73%
▲
(+0.97)
Under 3.5
59.26%
▼
(-0.97)
Over 4.5
22.73%
▲
(+0.78)
Under 4.5
77.27%
▼
(-0.78)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5
92.86%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 0.5
7.14%
▼
(-0.31)
Over 1.5
74.02%
▲
(+0.80)
Under 1.5
25.98%
▼
(-0.80)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5
45.37%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 0.5
54.63%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 1.5
12.34%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
87.66%
▼
(-0.06)
Score analysis
Argentina
80.66%
Draw
13.09%
Bolivia
6.23%
Argentina
2-0
@
13.58%
▼
(-0.17)
3-0 @ 11.95% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 10.29% ▼ (-0.30)
2-1 @ 8.21% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 7.89% ▲ (+0.16)
3-1 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.11)
5-0 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.15)
5-1 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.03)
6-0 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.10)
4-2 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.04)
6-1 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 80.66%
3-0 @ 11.95% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 10.29% ▼ (-0.30)
2-1 @ 8.21% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 7.89% ▲ (+0.16)
3-1 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.11)
5-0 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.15)
5-1 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.03)
6-0 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.10)
4-2 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.04)
6-1 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 80.66%
Draw
1-1
@
6.22%
▼
(-0.16)
0-0 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.18)
2-2 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 13.09%
0-0 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.18)
2-2 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 13.09%
Bolivia
0-1
@
2.36%
▼
(-0.10)
1-2 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 6.23%
1-2 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 6.23%
