Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations

Mali national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Quarter-Finals
Feb 3, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade de Bouake
Ivory Coast national football team

Mali
1 - 2
Ivory Coast

Dorgeles (71')
Traore (39'), Haidara (45+3'), Coulibaly (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Adingra (90'), Diakite (120+2')
Odilon (16'), Kouame (33'), Aurier (37'), Fofana (90+2'), Diakite (111')
Odilon (43'), Diakite (120+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Mali and Ivory Coast, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mali

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Mali 2-1 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, January 30 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Ivory Coast

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Senegal 1-1 Ivory Coast (4-5 pen.)
Monday, January 29 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 50.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Ivory Coast had a probability of 23.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Ivory Coast win it was 0-1 (8.32%).

Result
MaliDrawIvory Coast
50.36% (0.088999999999999 0.09)26.29% (0.148 0.15)23.35% (-0.235 -0.23)
Both teams to score 46.45% (-0.64 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.07% (-0.712 -0.71)56.93% (0.715 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.16% (-0.575 -0.57)77.84% (0.577 0.58)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.31% (-0.25999999999999 -0.26)22.69% (0.263 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.66% (-0.388 -0.39)56.34% (0.391 0.39)
Ivory Coast Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.08% (-0.622 -0.62)39.92% (0.624 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.42% (-0.577 -0.58)76.58% (0.58099999999999 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Mali 50.36%
    Ivory Coast 23.35%
    Draw 26.28%
MaliDrawIvory Coast
1-0 @ 13.43% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 9.96% (0.117 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.93% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 50.36%
1-1 @ 12.33% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.06% (0.245 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 8.32% (0.086 0.09)
1-2 @ 5.67% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 23.35%

How you voted: Mali vs Ivory Coast

Mali
47.5%
Ivory Coast
52.5%
80
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2023 8pm
Friendlies 1
Ivory Coast
0-0
Mali
Haller (33')
> Preview
Jul 8, 2019 5pm
Round of 16
Mali
0-1
Ivory Coast

Coulibaly (36')
Zaha (76')
Bagayoko (62')
> Match Report
Jan 24, 2015 4pm
Group Stage
Ivory Coast
1-1
Mali
Gradel (87')
Tiote (83')
Sako (7')
Sylla (59'), Tamboura (60'), Yatabare (88')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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