Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Quarter-Finals

Feb 3, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade de Bouake

Mali
1 - 2
Ivory Coast

Dorgeles (71')
Traore (39'), Haidara (45+3'), Coulibaly (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Adingra (90'), Diakite (120+2')
Odilon (16'), Kouame (33'), Aurier (37'), Fofana (90+2'), Diakite (111')
Odilon (43'), Diakite (120+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Mali and Ivory Coast, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mali

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Mali 2-1 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, January 30 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Ivory Coast

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Senegal 1-1 Ivory Coast (4-5 pen.)
Monday, January 29 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 50.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Ivory Coast had a probability of 23.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Ivory Coast win it was 0-1 (8.32%).

Result
Mali	Draw	Ivory Coast
50.36% ( 0.09)	26.29% ( 0.15)	23.35% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 46.45% (

-0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.07% (

-0.71)

56.93% (

0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.16% (

-0.57)

77.84% (

0.58)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.31% (

-0.26)

22.69% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.66% (

-0.39)

56.34% (

0.39)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.08% (

-0.62)

39.92% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.42% (

-0.58)

76.58% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Mali 50.36%

Ivory Coast 23.35%

Draw 26.28%

Mali	Draw	Ivory Coast
1-0 @ 13.43% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.78% Total : 50.36%	1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.28%	0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.36% Total : 23.35%