Senegal national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Round of 16
Jan 29, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade de Yamoussoukro
Ivory Coast national football team

Senegal
1 - 1
Ivory Coast

Diallo (4')
Mane (9'), Cisse (10'), Diallo (59'), Camara (72'), Mendy (84')
FT
(aet)
Kessie (86' pen.)
Kouame (82'), Michael Seri (90'), Aurier (95')
Ivory Coast win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Senegal and Ivory Coast, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Guinea 0-2 Senegal
Tuesday, January 23 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Eq Guinea 4-0 Ivory Coast
Monday, January 22 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 50.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Ivory Coast had a probability of 23.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Ivory Coast win it was 0-1 (8.32%).

Result
SenegalDrawIvory Coast
50.07% (-0.436 -0.44)26.27% (0.157 0.16)23.66% (0.278 0.28)
Both teams to score 46.82% (-0.144 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.39% (-0.336 -0.34)56.6% (0.334 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.42% (-0.272 -0.27)77.58% (0.27 0.27)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.32% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33)22.68% (0.332 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.67% (-0.498 -0.5)56.33% (0.495 0.5)
Ivory Coast Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.55% (0.074000000000005 0.07)39.44% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.86% (0.068999999999999 0.07)76.14% (-0.071999999999989 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Senegal 50.07%
    Ivory Coast 23.66%
    Draw 26.26%
SenegalDrawIvory Coast
1-0 @ 13.27% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.85% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.87% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 50.07%
1-1 @ 12.34% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.95% (0.114 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 8.32% (0.123 0.12)
1-2 @ 5.74% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.87% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 23.66%

How you voted: 1st Group C vs 3rd Group A/B/F

1st Group C
77.0%
Draw
15.0%
3rd Group A/B/F
8.0%
100
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Ivory Coast
0-1
Senegal
Ndiaye (77')