Mali vs Burkina Faso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 15.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.02%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.