Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 51.43%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 21.22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angola would win this match.