Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 20, 2024 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stade de Bouake
  • Ibrahima Keita 24' yellowcard
  • Sidi Bouna Amar 43' goal
  • Aboubakary Koita 58' goal
  • Omare Gassama 85' yellowcard
  • goal Gelson 30'
  • goal Gelson 50'
  • goal Gilberto 53'
  • yellowcard Nurio Fortuna 90'+6'

Mauritania vs Angola - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritania

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Jan 16, 2024 2.00pm
Burkina Faso 1 - 0 Mauritania

Angola

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Jan 15, 2024 8.00pm
Algeria 1 - 1 Angola

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.08%) and 1-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 1-0 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angola would win this match.

Result

Mauritania 30.14% (+0.04)
Draw 29.27% (-0.02)
Angola 40.58% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.18% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.56% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 63.43% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 17.22% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 82.78% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 6.79% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 93.21% (-0.03)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5 62.29% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 37.71% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 25.51% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 74.48% (-0.06)

Angola Goals

Over 0.5 69.31% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 30.68% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 33.06% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 66.93% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Mauritania 30.14%
Draw 29.27%
Angola 40.58%
Mauritania
1-0 @ 11.28%
2-1 @ 6.5% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.5% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.11% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.79% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.25% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 30.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.33%
0-0 @ 11.57% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.84% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.27%
Angola
0-1 @ 13.66% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 8.08% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.88% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.1% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.51% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 40.58%

Head to Head

African Nations Championship
Jan 20, 2023 4.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Nacional de OMBAKA
Africa Cup of Nations
Jun 29, 2019 3.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Suez Stadium, Suez
  • Aly Abeid 93' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bruno Gaspar 53'
  • yellowcard Geraldo 93'