Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 24, 2024 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Laurent Pokou Stadium
  • Deon Hotto 45'+5' yellowcard

Namibia vs Mali - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Namibia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Jan 21, 2024 8.00pm
South Africa 4 - 0 Namibia

Mali

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Jan 20, 2024 8.00pm
Tunisia 1 - 1 Mali

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 53.38%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Namibia had a probability of 17.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 19.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.51%) and 1-2 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.89%), while for a Namibia win it was 1-0 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Namibia 17.46% ▼ (-0.34)
Draw 29.16% ▲ (+0.16)
Mali 53.38% ▲ (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

33.09% ▼ (-0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5 29.74% ▼ (-0.65)
Under 2.5 70.27% ▲ (+0.65)
Over 3.5 12.6% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 3.5 87.4% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 4.5 4.44% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 4.5 95.56% ▲ (+0.21)

Namibia Goals

Over 0.5 45.55% ▼ (-0.83)
Under 0.5 54.45% ▲ (+0.83)
Over 1.5 12.45% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 1.5 87.55% ▲ (+0.52)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5 72.64% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 0.5 27.36% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 1.5 37.18% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 1.5 62.82% ▲ (+0.31)

Score analysis

Namibia 17.46%
Draw 29.14%
Mali 53.38%
Namibia
1-0 @ 9.06% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 17.46%
Draw
0-0 @ 14.89% ▲ (+0.36)
1-1 @ 11.73% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 29.14%
Mali
0-1 @ 19.31% ▲ (+0.34)
0-2 @ 12.51% ▲ (+0.13)
1-2 @ 7.61% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.07)
0-4 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 53.38%