Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations

Namibia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 24, 2024 at 5pm UK
Laurent Pokou Stadium
Mali national football team

Namibia
0 - 0
Mali


Hotto (45+5')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Namibia and Mali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Namibia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: South Africa 4-0 Namibia
Sunday, January 21 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Mali

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Tunisia 1-1 Mali
Saturday, January 20 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 53.38%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Namibia had a probability of 17.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 19.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.51%) and 1-2 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.89%), while for a Namibia win it was 1-0 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
NamibiaDrawMali
17.46% (-0.33 -0.33)29.16% (0.157 0.16)53.38% (0.179 0.18)
Both teams to score 33.09% (-0.70699999999999 -0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.74% (-0.642 -0.64)70.27% (0.64700000000001 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.6% (-0.41 -0.41)87.4% (0.414 0.41)
Namibia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.55% (-0.823 -0.82)54.45% (0.828 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.45% (-0.506 -0.51)87.55% (0.51000000000001 0.51)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.64% (-0.233 -0.23)27.36% (0.236 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.18% (-0.30399999999999 -0.3)62.82% (0.308 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Namibia 17.46%
    Mali 53.38%
    Draw 29.14%
NamibiaDrawMali
1-0 @ 9.06% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 3.57% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-0 @ 2.75% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 17.46%
0-0 @ 14.89% (0.35 0.35)
1-1 @ 11.73% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 2.31% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 29.14%
0-1 @ 19.31% (0.34 0.34)
0-2 @ 12.51% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.61% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-3 @ 5.41% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.29% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.75% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 53.38%

How you voted: Namibia vs Mali

Namibia
35.0%
Draw
15.0%
Mali
50.0%
60