World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Nov 21, 2023 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade d'Agadir
  • Denilson Silva 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Prins Tjiueza 9'
  • yellowcard Kennedy Amutenya 51'
  • goal Pedro Mateus 75' (OG)

Sao Tome & Principe vs Namibia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Tome & Principe

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Nov 17, 2023 7.00pm
Tunisia 4 - 0 Sao Tome

Namibia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Nov 15, 2023 1.00pm
Eq Guinea 1 - 0 Namibia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Namibia win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 12.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Namibia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.87%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Namibia would win this match.

Result

Sao Tome & Principe 12.04% (+0.75)
Draw 20.64% (+0.67)
Namibia 67.32% (-1.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.58% (+0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.01% (-0.91)
Under 2.5 51.99% (+0.91)
Over 3.5 26.27% (-0.79)
Under 3.5 73.73% (+0.79)
Over 4.5 12.17% (-0.52)
Under 4.5 87.83% (+0.52)

Sao Tome & Principe Goals

Over 0.5 48.67% (+0.77)
Under 0.5 51.33% (-0.77)
Over 1.5 14.43% (+0.51)
Under 1.5 85.57% (-0.50)

Namibia Goals

Over 0.5 85.45% (-0.72)
Under 0.5 14.56% (+0.73)
Over 1.5 57.39% (-1.41)
Under 1.5 42.61% (+1.41)

Score analysis

Sao Tome & Principe 12.04%
Draw 20.64%
Namibia 67.32%
Sao Tome & Principe
1-0 @ 4.98% (+0.29)
2-1 @ 3.2% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 1.66% (+0.13)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 12.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.6% (+0.31)
0-0 @ 7.47% (+0.27)
2-2 @ 3.09% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 20.64%
Namibia
0-1 @ 14.4% (+0.16)
0-2 @ 13.87% (-0.23)
1-2 @ 9.25% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 8.91% (-0.39)
1-3 @ 5.94% (-0.12)
0-4 @ 4.3% (-0.31)
1-4 @ 2.86% (-0.14)
2-3 @ 1.98% (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.66% (-0.17)
1-5 @ 1.1% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 67.32%