World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 21, 2023 at 4pm UK

Stade d'Agadir

Sao Tome
0 - 2
Namibia

Silva (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tjiueza (9'), Mateus (75' og.)
Amutenya (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Sao Tome & Principe and Namibia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Tome & Principe

Last Game: Tunisia 4-0 Sao Tome
Friday, November 17 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Namibia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-0 Namibia
Wednesday, November 15 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Tunisia	0	0	0
2	Mali	0	0	0
3	South Africa	0	0	0
4	Namibia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Namibia win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 12.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Namibia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.87%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Namibia would win this match.

Result
Sao Tome & Principe	Draw	Namibia
12.04% ( 0.74)	20.64% ( 0.67)	67.32% ( -1.41)

Both teams to score 41.58% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.01% (

-0.9)

51.99% (

0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.27% (

-0.78)

73.73% (

0.78)

Sao Tome & Principe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.67% (

0.76)

51.33% (

-0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.43% (

0.5)

85.57% (

-0.5)

Namibia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.45% (

-0.72)

14.56% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.39% (

-1.41)

42.61% (

1.41)

Score Analysis

Sao Tome & Principe 12.04%

Namibia 67.32%

Draw 20.64%

Sao Tome & Principe	Draw	Namibia
1-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.2% Total : 12.04%	1-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.48% Total : 20.64%	0-1 @ 14.4% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 13.87% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 8.91% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 5.94% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 4.3% ( -0.3) 1-4 @ 2.86% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.66% ( -0.16) 1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.08% Total : 67.32%