Africa Cup of Nations
Feb 11, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Teslim Balogun Stadium
  • Salisu Yusuf 28' yellowcard
  • William Troost-Ekong 38' goal
  • Stanley Nwabali 53' yellowcard
  • Ola Aina 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Serge Aurier 54'
  • goal Franck Kessie 62'
  • goal Sebastien Haller 81'
  • yellowcard Seko Fofana 87'
  • yellowcard Evan N'Dicka 90'+7'

Nigeria vs Ivory Coast - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

All competitions

Ivory Coast

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 49.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Ivory Coast had a probability of 22.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Ivory Coast win it was 0-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Result

Nigeria 49.51%
Draw 27.89%
Ivory Coast 22.59%

Both Teams to Score: 

41.59%

Goals

Over 2.5 37.18%
Under 2.5 62.81%
Over 3.5 17.67%
Under 3.5 82.33%
Over 4.5 7.03%
Under 4.5 92.96%

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5 74.33%
Under 0.5 25.67%
Over 1.5 39.42%
Under 1.5 60.57%

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5 55.95%
Under 0.5 44.04%
Over 1.5 19.84%
Under 1.5 80.15%

Score analysis

Nigeria 49.5%
Draw 27.88%
Ivory Coast 22.59%
Nigeria
1-0 @ 15.37%
2-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 8.57%
3-0 @ 4.74%
3-1 @ 3.89%
4-0 @ 1.61%
3-2 @ 1.59%
4-1 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 49.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 11.3%
2-2 @ 3.52%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 27.88%
Ivory Coast
0-1 @ 9.27%
1-2 @ 5.17%
0-2 @ 3.8%
1-3 @ 1.41%
0-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 22.59%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 18, 2024 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)
  • goal William Troost-Ekong 55'
  • yellowcard Stanley Nwabali 90'+2'
International Friendlies
Oct 9, 2020 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • William Troost-Ekong 27' yellowcard
  • Semi Ajayi 87' yellowcard
  • goal Ramy Bensebaini 6'
  • yellowcard Said Benrahma 44'
Africa Cup of Nations
Feb 3, 2013 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Cheick Tiote 0' goal
  • goal Emmanuel Emenike 0'
  • goal Sunday Mba 0'

Build-up

Feature