Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 22, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade de l'Amitie

Guinea-Bissau
0 - 1
Nigeria

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sangante (36' og.)
Ajayi (44'), Onyeka (50'), Bassey (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Guinea-Bissau and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Eq Guinea 4-2 Guinea-Bissau
Thursday, January 18 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	2	2	4
2	Nigeria	2	1	4
3	Ivory Coast	2	1	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	2	-4	0

Nigeria

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Ivory Coast 0-1 Nigeria
Thursday, January 18 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	2	2	4
2	Nigeria	2	1	4
3	Ivory Coast	2	1	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	2	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 50.48%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 23.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 1-0 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nigeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nigeria.

Result
Guinea-Bissau	Draw	Nigeria
23.52% ( -2.38)	25.99% ( -0.97)	50.48% ( 3.35)

Both teams to score 47.44% (

0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.28% (

1.78)

55.72% (

-1.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.14% (

1.43)

76.86% (

-1.43)

Guinea-Bissau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.93% (

-1.17)

39.07% (

1.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.21% (

-1.11)

75.79% (

1.11)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.87% (

2.29)

22.13% (

-2.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.49% (

3.34)

55.51% (

-3.34)

Score Analysis

Guinea-Bissau 23.52%

Nigeria 50.48%

Draw 25.99%

Guinea-Bissau	Draw	Nigeria
1-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.86) 2-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.54) 3-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.21) Other @ 1.46% Total : 23.52%	1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.4) 0-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.61) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 13.04% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.64) 1-2 @ 9.24% ( 0.32) 0-3 @ 4.95% ( 0.62) 1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.45) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.34) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.27) Other @ 2.97% Total : 50.48%