/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fgbilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fniglog_1.png)
-
Opa Sangante
36'
(OG)
-
Semi Ajayi
44'
-
Frank Onyeka
50'
-
Calvin Bassey
90'+4'
Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F43%2Fvictor-osimhen.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 50.48%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 23.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 1-0 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nigeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nigeria.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Nigeria Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.39)
2-0 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.54)
3-1 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.19)
3-2 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 23.52%
0-0 @ 8.65% ▼ (-0.62)
2-2 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 25.99%
0-2 @ 9.84% ▲ (+0.64)
1-2 @ 9.24% ▲ (+0.32)
0-3 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.63)
1-3 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.46)
2-3 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.15)
0-4 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.35)
1-4 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.28)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 50.48%
Head to Head
-
Moses Simon
30'
-
Mama Balde
29'
-
Umar Sadiq
56'
-
William Troost-Ekong
75'