Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Round of 16

Jan 27, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade de l'Amitie

Nigeria
2 - 0
Cameroon

Ajayi (9'), Lookman (36', 90')
Simon (87'), Aina (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Wooh (53'), N'Koudou (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Nigeria and Cameroon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 0-1 Nigeria
Monday, January 22 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Cameroon

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Gambia 2-3 Cameroon
Tuesday, January 23 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	7	9
2	Cameroon	3	-1	4
3	Guinea	3	-1	4
4	Gambia	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 61.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Cameroon had a probability of 15.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.77%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Cameroon win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nigeria would win this match.

Result
Nigeria	Draw	Cameroon
61.46% ( 1.18)	23.17% ( -0.47)	15.36% ( -0.71)

Both teams to score 42.76% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.82% (

0.58)

55.18% (

-0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.58% (

0.48)

76.41% (

-0.48)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.4% (

0.64)

17.6% (

-0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.82% (

1.09)

48.17% (

-1.1)

Cameroon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.89% (

-0.63)

48.1% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.69% (

-0.46)

83.3% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

Nigeria 61.45%

Cameroon 15.36%

Draw 23.17%

Nigeria	Draw	Cameroon
1-0 @ 14.7% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 12.77% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.15% Total : 61.45%	1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.52% Total : 23.17%	0-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 2% Total : 15.36%