Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 23, 2024 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de Yamoussoukro
  • Ablie Jallow 72' goal
  • Ablie Jallow 77' yellowcard
  • Ebrima Colley 85' goal
  • Saidy Janko 86' yellowcard
  • Alieu Fadera 89' yellowcard
  • Muhammed Sanneh 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Karl Toko Ekambi 56'
  • goal James Gomez 87' (OG)
  • goal Christopher Wooh 90'+1'

Gambia vs Cameroon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Gambia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Jan 19, 2024 8.00pm
Guinea 1 - 0 Gambia

Cameroon

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Jan 19, 2024 5.00pm
Senegal 3 - 1 Cameroon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 20.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.35%) and 1-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Gambia win it was 1-0 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cameroon would win this match.

Result

Gambia 20.06% (+0.17)
Draw 26.85% (+0.09)
Cameroon 53.09% (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.24% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.32% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 61.68% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 18.5% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 81.5% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 7.49% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 92.51% (+0.06)

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5 53.91% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 46.09% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 18.21% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 81.79% (-0.09)

Cameroon Goals

Over 0.5 76.49% (-0.17)
Under 0.5 23.51% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 42.45% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 57.55% (+0.25)

Score analysis

Gambia 20.06%
Draw 26.84%
Cameroon 53.08%
Gambia
1-0 @ 8.4% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 4.71% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 3.25% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 1.22% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 20.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 10.83% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 3.41% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 26.84%
Cameroon
0-1 @ 15.68%
0-2 @ 11.35% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 8.8% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 5.48% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 4.24% (-0.04)
0-4 @ 1.98% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.54% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 53.08%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 29, 2022 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Noah Sonko-Sundberg 21' yellowcard
  • Pa Modou 33' yellowcard
  • Baboucarr Gaye 40' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Ngadeu-Ngadjui 48'
  • goal Karl Toko Ekambi 50'
  • goal Karl Toko Ekambi 57'