Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Quarter-Finals

Feb 2, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade de l'Amitie

Nigeria
1 - 0
Angola

Lookman (41')
Bassey (55')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gaspar (71'), Mabululu (71'), Gelson (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Nigeria and Angola, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Nigeria 2-0 Cameroon
Saturday, January 27 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Angola

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Angola 3-0 Namibia
Saturday, January 27 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 59.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Angola had a probability of 15.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.2%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for an Angola win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nigeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nigeria.

Result
Nigeria	Draw	Angola
59.82%	24.73%	15.45%

Both teams to score 39.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.72%

60.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.55%

80.45%

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.85%

20.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.58%

52.42%

Angola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.94%

51.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.62%

85.37%

Score Analysis

Nigeria 59.81%

Angola 15.45%

Draw 24.72%

Nigeria	Draw	Angola
1-0 @ 16.47% 2-0 @ 13.2% 2-1 @ 8.88% 3-0 @ 7.05% 3-1 @ 4.74% 4-0 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.59% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.25% Total : 59.81%	1-1 @ 11.07% 0-0 @ 10.28% 2-2 @ 2.98% Other @ 0.38% Total : 24.72%	0-1 @ 6.91% 1-2 @ 3.72% 0-2 @ 2.32% Other @ 2.49% Total : 15.45%