Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 64.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 12.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.04%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (5.69%).