Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Semi-Finals

Feb 7, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade de Bouake

Nigeria
1 - 1
South Africa

Troost-Ekong (67' pen.)
Onyeka (101'), Troost-Ekong (120')

FT
(aet)

Mokoena (90' pen.)
Kekana (115')

Nigeria win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Nigeria and South Africa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Nigeria 1-0 Angola
Friday, February 2 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

South Africa

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Cape Verde 0-0 South Africa (1-2 pen.)
Saturday, February 3 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 64.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 12.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.04%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (5.69%).

Result
Nigeria	Draw	South Africa
64.83%	22.29%	12.89%

Both teams to score 39.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.71%

56.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.67%

77.33%

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.18%

16.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.19%

46.81%

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.46%

52.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.65%

86.35%

Score Analysis

Nigeria 64.82%

South Africa 12.89%

Draw 22.29%

Nigeria	Draw	South Africa
1-0 @ 15.75% 2-0 @ 14.04% 2-1 @ 9.04% 3-0 @ 8.34% 3-1 @ 5.37% 4-0 @ 3.72% 4-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 1.73% 5-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.12% Total : 64.82%	1-1 @ 10.14% 0-0 @ 8.84% 2-2 @ 2.91% Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.29%	0-1 @ 5.69% 1-2 @ 3.26% 0-2 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.11% Total : 12.89%