Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Round of 16

Jan 30, 2024 at 8pm UK

Laurent Pokou Stadium

Morocco
0 - 2
South Africa

Amrabat (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Makgopa (57'), Mokoena (90+5')
Modiba (29'), Kekana (36'), Mvala (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Morocco and South Africa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Zambia 0-1 Morocco
Wednesday, January 24 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

South Africa

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: South Africa 0-0 Tunisia
Wednesday, January 24 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 60.19%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 14.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.8%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.43%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Morocco	Draw	South Africa
60.19% ( 0.28)	25.26% ( -0.09)	14.55% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 36.22% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.89% (

0.03)

63.11% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.46% (

0.02)

82.54% (

-0.02)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.86% (

0.13)

21.14% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.01% (

0.19)

53.99% (

-0.2)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.92% (

-0.27)

54.08% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.68% (

-0.16)

87.32% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Morocco 60.18%

South Africa 14.55%

Draw 25.25%

Morocco	Draw	South Africa
1-0 @ 17.76% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 13.8% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 60.18%	0-0 @ 11.43% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.3% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.01% Total : 14.55%