/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fzamlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmorlog.png)
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Hakim Ziyech
37'
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Achraf Hakimi
81'
Zambia vs Morocco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F18%2Favram-grant.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Morocco had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Morocco win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.
Result
Zambia
41.28%
▼
(-0.85)
Draw
27.13%
▲
(+0.24)
Morocco
31.59%
▲
(+0.61)
Both Teams to Score:
49.64%
▼
(-0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.41%
▼
(-0.73)
Under 2.5
55.59%
▲
(+0.72)
Over 3.5
23.24%
▼
(-0.60)
Under 3.5
76.75%
▲
(+0.59)
Over 4.5
10.26%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 4.5
89.73%
▲
(+0.37)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5
73.48%
▼
(-0.78)
Under 0.5
26.51%
▲
(+0.77)
Over 1.5
38.29%
▼
(-1.05)
Under 1.5
61.7%
▲
(+1.04)
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5
67.55%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 0.5
32.45%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 1.5
31.03%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
68.97%
▼
(-0.07)
Score analysis
Zambia
41.27%
Draw
27.13%
Morocco
31.59%
Zambia
1-0
@
11.41%
▲
(+0.07)
2-1 @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.13)
2-0 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.15)
3-0 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 41.27%
2-1 @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.13)
2-0 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.15)
3-0 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 41.27%
Draw
1-1
@
12.85%
▲
(+0.09)
0-0 @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.24)
2-2 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.13%
0-0 @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.24)
2-2 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.13%
Morocco
0-1
@
9.68%
▲
(+0.28)
1-2 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 31.59%
1-2 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 31.59%
Z
20'