Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 46.49%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 26.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.