Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 29, 2024 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de l'Amitie
  • 3' goal
  • Kevin Pina 11' yellowcard
  • Ryan Mendes 88' goal
  • yellowcard Babacar Niasse 87'

Cape Verde vs Mauritania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cape Verde

All competitions

Mauritania

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cape Verde in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cape Verde.

Result

Cape Verde 40.71% (+0.17)
Draw 29.51% (-0.07)
Mauritania 29.78% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.44% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 35.72% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 64.27% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 16.62% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 83.38% (-0.12)
Over 4.5 6.47% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 93.53% (-0.07)

Cape Verde Goals

Over 0.5 68.96% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 31.03% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 32.65% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 67.35% (-0.21)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5 61.53% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 38.46% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 24.78% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 75.21% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Cape Verde 40.71%
Draw 29.5%
Mauritania 29.77%
Cape Verde
1-0 @ 13.96% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.17% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 7.81% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.19% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.05% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.46% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 40.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.34% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 11.93% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 3.73% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.5%
Mauritania
0-1 @ 11.4% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.45% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 29.77%