Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Round of 16

Jan 29, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade de l'Amitie

Cape Verde
1 - 0
Mauritania

Mendes (88' pen.)
Pina (11')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Niasse (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Cape Verde and Mauritania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cape Verde

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Cape Verde 2-2 Egypt
Monday, January 22 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Mauritania

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Mauritania 1-0 Algeria
Tuesday, January 23 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cape Verde in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cape Verde.

Result
Cape Verde	Draw	Mauritania
40.71% ( 0.16)	29.51% ( -0.06)	29.78% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 42.44% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.72% (

0.15)

64.27% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.62% (

0.11)

83.38% (

-0.11)

Cape Verde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.96% (

0.17)

31.03% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.65% (

0.2)

67.35% (

-0.21)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.53% (

-0)

38.46% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.78% (

75.21% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Cape Verde 40.71%

Mauritania 29.77%

Draw 29.5%

Cape Verde	Draw	Mauritania
1-0 @ 13.96% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 40.71%	1-1 @ 13.34% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.93% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.5%	0-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 1.59% Total : 29.77%