World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 7, 2024 at 8pm UK

Amadou Gon Coulibaly Stadium

Ivory Coast
1 - 0
Gabon

Fofana (36')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Aubameyang (57'), Ekomie (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Ivory Coast and Gabon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Ivory Coast 2-1 Uruguay
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Gabon

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Gabon 1-1 Congo
Monday, March 25 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 65.03%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Gabon had a probability of 14.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Gabon win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Result
Ivory Coast	Draw	Gabon
65.03% ( -0.06)	20% ( 0.02)	14.97% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 51.39% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.93% (

43.07% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.52%

65.47% (

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.53% (

-0.01)

12.47% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.57% (

-0.03)

38.43% (

0.04)

Gabon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.71% (

0.05)

41.29% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.19% (

0.05)

77.81% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Ivory Coast 65.01%

Gabon 14.97%

Draw 20%

Ivory Coast	Draw	Gabon
2-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.85% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 65.01%	1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.15% 2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 1% Total : 20%	0-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.69% Total : 14.97%