World Cup Qualifying - Africa
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Seko Fofana
36'
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
57'
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Jacques Ekomie
57'
Ivory Coast vs Gabon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 65.03%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Gabon had a probability of 14.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Gabon win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.
Result
Ivory Coast
65.03%
▼
(-0.06)
Draw
20%
▲
(+0.02)
Gabon
14.97%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
51.39%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.93%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
43.07%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
34.52%
Under 3.5
65.47%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 4.5
17.91%
Under 4.5
82.09%
▲
(+0.01)
Ivory Coast Goals
Over 0.5
87.53%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
12.47%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
61.57%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
38.43%
▲
(+0.04)
Gabon Goals
Over 0.5
58.71%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 0.5
41.29%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
22.19%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
77.81%
▼
(-0.05)
Score analysis
Ivory Coast
65.01%
Draw
20%
Gabon
14.97%
Ivory Coast
2-0
@
11.15%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 10.71% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.87% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.85% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 65.01%
1-0 @ 10.71% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.87% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.85% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 65.01%
Draw
1-1
@
9.48%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.15%
2-2 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 20%
0-0 @ 5.15%
2-2 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 20%
Gabon
0-1
@
4.55%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 14.97%
1-2 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 14.97%