International Friendlies
Mar 22, 2024 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Leopold Sedar Senghor
  • Aaron Appindangoye 12' goal
  • Bamba Dieng 34' yellowcard
  • Abdoulaye Seck 36' yellowcard
  • Mikayil Faye 44' goal
  • Pathe Ciss 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Seydou Sano 71' yellowcard
  • Sadio Mane 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Clech Loufilou 43'

Senegal vs Gabon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jan 8, 2024 6.00pm
Senegal 1 - 0 Niger

Gabon

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 64.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Gabon had a probability of 12.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.3%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Gabon win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.

Result

Senegal 64.53% (+0.01)
Draw 22.72% (-0.01)
Gabon 12.75%

Both Teams to Score: 

38.08% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.98% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 58.02% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 21.29% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 78.71% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 9.09% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 90.91% (-0.02)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5 82.45% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 17.55% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 51.92% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 48.08% (-0.03)

Gabon Goals

Over 0.5 46.18% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 53.82% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 12.84% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 87.16% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Senegal 64.52%
Draw 22.72%
Gabon 12.75%
Senegal
1-0 @ 16.43% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 14.3%
2-1 @ 8.86% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.3% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.14% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.61% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.24% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.59% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.26% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 64.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.18%
0-0 @ 9.44% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.74% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.72%
Gabon
0-1 @ 5.85% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.15% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.81%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 12.75%