World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 16, 2023 at 4pm UK

Stade de Franceville

Gabon
2 - 1
Kenya

Bouanga (60'), Kanga (88')
Allevinah (45+2'), Bouanga (76'), Loufilou (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Juma (40')
Omar (45+2'), Juma (66'), Akumu (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Gabon and Kenya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gabon

All competitions

Last Game: Guinea 1-1 Gabon
Tuesday, October 17 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Kenya

All competitions

Last Game: Kenya 2-2 Russia
Monday, October 16 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Algeria	3	6	9
2	Senegal	3	4	6
3	Kenya	3	-4	3
4	Tanzania	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 58.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 16.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Kenya win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gabon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Gabon.

Result
Gabon	Draw	Kenya
58.97% ( 0.11)	24.75% ( -0.05)	16.27% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 40.53% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.75% (

0.09)

59.24% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.34% (

0.07)

79.66% (

-0.08)

Gabon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.93% (

0.08)

20.06% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.7% (

0.13)

52.29% (

-0.13)

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.7% (

-0.03)

49.29% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.83% (

-0.02)

84.16% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Gabon 58.96%

Kenya 16.27%

Draw 24.75%

Gabon	Draw	Kenya
1-0 @ 15.88% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.75% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 58.96%	1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.19% Other @ 0.43% Total : 24.75%	0-1 @ 7% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 16.27%