World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 19, 2023 at 1pm UK

Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium

Burundi
1 - 2
Gabon

Bigirimana (87')
Mukombozi (45+2'), Abdul Razak (45+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Allevinah (35'), Bouanga (83')
Obiang (41'), Ecuele Manga (43'), Loufilou (45+2'), Moucketou-Moussounda (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Burundi and Gabon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burundi

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Burundi 3-2 Gambia
Thursday, November 16 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Gabon

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Gabon 2-1 Kenya
Thursday, November 16 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Burundi had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Burundi win was 1-0 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gabon would win this match.

Result
Burundi	Draw	Gabon
32.86% ( 0.14)	28.57% ( 0.02)	38.57% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 45.81% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.44% (

-0.04)

60.55% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.34% (

-0.03)

80.66% (

0.03)

Burundi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.86% (

0.08)

34.14% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.17% (

0.09)

70.83% (

-0.09)

Gabon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.56% (

-0.11)

30.43% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.36% (

-0.14)

66.64% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Burundi 32.85%

Gabon 38.57%

Draw 28.57%

Burundi	Draw	Gabon
1-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 32.85%	1-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.57%	0-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.57%