Burkina Faso national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade 26 Mars
Sierra Leone national football team

Burkina Faso
2 - 2
Sierra Leone

Ouattara (41'), Traore (45+2' pen.)
Yago (43'), Banse (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kargbo (58'), Bakayoko (88')
Kabia (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Burkina Faso and Sierra Leone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Egypt 2-1 Burkina Faso
Thursday, June 6 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Sierra Leone 2-1 Djibouti
Wednesday, June 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 58.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 15.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Burkina FasoDrawSierra Leone
58.55% (-0.247 -0.25)25.56% (0.177 0.18)15.89% (0.074 0.07)
Both teams to score 37.99% (-0.269 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.73% (-0.441 -0.44)62.27% (0.441 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.07% (-0.322 -0.32)81.93% (0.325 0.33)
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.55% (-0.28099999999999 -0.28)21.46% (0.283 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.52% (-0.433 -0.43)54.48% (0.435 0.43)
Sierra Leone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.36% (-0.167 -0.17)51.64% (0.17 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.23% (-0.11 -0.11)85.77% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Burkina Faso 58.54%
    Sierra Leone 15.89%
    Draw 25.55%
Burkina FasoDrawSierra Leone
1-0 @ 17.05% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 13.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.73% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 58.54%
1-1 @ 11.27% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 11.07% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 2.87% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 7.32% (0.084 0.08)
1-2 @ 3.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.42% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 15.89%

How you voted: Burkina Faso vs Sierra Leone

Burkina Faso
66.7%
Draw
18.2%
Sierra Leone
15.2%
33
rhs 2.0


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