Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 72.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Niger had a probability of 7.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.15%) and 3-0 (11.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.25%), while for a Niger win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.