Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Togo win with a probability of 44.1%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Niger had a probability of 26.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Togo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.04%) and 1-2 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Niger win it was 1-0 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Togo would win this match.